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Analysis date: November 1, 2026

Transaction structuring

Transaction Structuring

Entry, follow-on and exit mechanics for the illustrative investment. All calculations mirror the financial workbook.

Illustrative structure, not an available deal

There is no evidence that this price or structure is available, and the live terms and cap table are unknown. Edit inputs on the Interactive Valuation page.

Entry

Illustrative analyst assumptions
Entry pre-money valuationAnalyst assumption, not market price
$25.00m
Initial investment
$5.00m
Post-money valuation
$30.00m
Initial ownershipIgnoring option pool and other securities
16.6667%

Follow-on (2029)

Illustrative analyst assumptions
Follow-on round sizeEntire round, not only the investor
$20.00m
Follow-on pre-money valuation
$150.00m
Follow-on post-money valuation
$170.00m
Pro-rata participationShare of pro-rata entitlement taken
100%
Pro-rata follow-on investment
$3.3333m
Post-financing ownershipBefore later rounds / liquidation waterfall
16.6667%
Total capital invested
$8.3333m

Exit (2033) and investor returns

Exit costs 2.0% of enterprise value. Gross of fees and carry.

Illustrative analyst assumptions
Exit valuation and returns by scenario
LineBearBaseBull
2033 annual revenue$9.66m$31.35m$107.24m
Exit revenue multiple2.0x5.0x8.0x
Exit enterprise valuation$19.32m$156.75m$857.88m
Transaction costs$0.39m$3.13m$17.16m
Net exit value$18.93m$153.61m$840.73m
Exit ownership16.6667%16.6667%16.6667%
Equity proceeds$3.16m$25.60m$140.12m
Total capital invested$8.33m$8.33m$8.33m
MOIC0.3786x3.0722x16.8145x
Gross IRR (cash-flow)(15.8994%)20.5987%57.3977%
vs 25% hurdle✗ Below hurdle✗ Below hurdle✓ Clears hurdle

Investor annual cash flows

Year-end convention; negative = capital invested. IRR is solved on these flows (not CAGR).

Investor annual cash flows by scenario, USD millions
Scenario20262027202820292030203120322033
Bear($5.00m)$0.00m$0.00m($3.33m)$0.00m$0.00m$0.00m$3.16m
Base($5.00m)$0.00m$0.00m($3.33m)$0.00m$0.00m$0.00m$25.60m
Bull($5.00m)$0.00m$0.00m($3.33m)$0.00m$0.00m$0.00m$140.12m

Published mandate cross-check

Mandate is not proof that a specific deal is actionable E01

  • Initial check $1m-$10m$5.00m ✓
  • Minority stake of at least 5%16.7% ✓
  • Reported ARR of $3m+ at entryCannot be tested: ARR unverified
  • LTV/CAC above 3xNot available

Structure limitations (workbook)

Security type
Assumes fully diluted, common-equivalent preferred economics.
Liquidation terms
No preference waterfall modeled; actual term sheet unavailable.
Further dilution
No post-follow-on rounds modeled; higher dilution lowers returns.
Net debt
Zero assumed. Actual cash / liabilities undisclosed.